Carolyn Wells, MD Lecturer WHVAMC 950 Campbell Avenue Building 35A, Room 106 West Haven, CT 06516 Office: 203-932-5711, ext. 5805 Fax: 203-785-6995 e-mail: carolyn.wells@yale.edu

Training

B.A., Harvard University, 1963
USMLE, Part I [basic science], Yale University, 1967 M.P.H., Yale University, 1980

Research Activities

Clinical Epidemiology, Chronic Disease Epidemiology, Multivariable Analysis; Cancer Screening; Prognostic staging in solid tumors, stroke.

Selected Recent Publications

1. Feinstein AR, Sosin DM, Wells CK. The Will Rogers phenomenon: Stage migration and new diagnostic technology as a source of misleading statistics for survival in cancer. N Engl J Med 1985;312:1604-8.
2. McFarlane MJ, Feinstein AR, Wells CK, Chan CK. The “epidemiologic necropsy”. Unexpected detections, demographic selections, and changing rates of lung cancer. JAMA 1987;258:331-8.
3. Wells CK, Feinstein AR. Detection bias in the diagnostic pursuit of lung cancer. Amer J Epidemiol 1988;128:1016-26.
4. Feinstein AR, Wells CK. A clinical-severity staging system for patients with lung cancer. Medicine 1990;69:1-33.
5. Feinstein AR, Wells CK, Walter SD. A comparison of multivariate mathematical models in predicting survival. I. Introduction, rationale, and general strategy. II. Statistical selection of prognostic variables. III: Accuracy of predictions in generating and challenge sets. J Clin Epidemiol 1990;43:339-347,349-359,361-372.
6. Piccirillo J, Wells CK, Sasaki ST, Feinstein AR. A new clinical severity staging system for cancer of the larynx. Ann Otol Rhinol Laryngol 1994;103:83-92.
7. Peipert JR, Wells CK, Schwartz PE, Feinstein AR. Prognostic value of clinical variables in invasive cervical cancer. Obstet Gynecol 1994;84:746-751.
8. Elmore JG, Wells CK, Lee CH, Howard DH, Feinstein AR. Variability in radiologists' interpretations of mammograms. New Engl J Med 1994;331:1493-1499.
9. Moody-Ayers SY, Wells CK, Feinstein AR. “Benign” tumors and “early detection” in mammography-screened patients of a natural cohort with breast cancer. Arch Int Med 2000; 160:1109-1115.
10. Wells CK, Feinstein AR. Presenting manifestations, cigarette smoking, and detection bias in age at diagnosis of lung cancer. Ann Epidemiol 2001;11:239-247.